Hollenbach vs Illertissen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.1%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.1%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
57.5%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hollenbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
REU
3 - 1
HOL
78%
14%
7%
|
18 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
HOL
2 - 2
WEI
27%
24%
49%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2010 |
NOR
2 - 1
HOL
76%
15%
9%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
HOL
1 - 2
STU
19%
20%
62%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Illertissen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
ILL
3 - 3
FRE
55%
22%
22%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
NEC
3 - 4
ILL
18%
22%
60%
|
33 | 16 | 17 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2010 |
ILL
1 - 0
LIN
70%
17%
13%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
KIR
1 - 2
ILL
42%
24%
34%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2010 |
ILL
3 - 1
KEH
67%
19%
14%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |