Hollenbach vs Freiberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.8%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
38.8%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+61%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hollenbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2013 |
STU
0 - 1
HOL
43%
26%
31%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
HOL
3 - 0
KEH
40%
26%
34%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | +3 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
REU
6 - 2
HOL
57%
22%
21%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -2 |
| 09 May. 2013 |
HOL
7 - 2
SPI
46%
23%
31%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | +2 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
GRU
2 - 1
HOL
43%
24%
32%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Freiberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2013 |
FRE
2 - 4
AST
26%
25%
50%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
NOT
2 - 2
FRE
61%
20%
19%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
FRE
1 - 3
NEC
29%
26%
45%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2013 |
FRE
0 - 1
BAL
60%
21%
19%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
KSC
1 - 4
FRE
46%
24%
30%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +2 |