Hollenbach vs Astoria Walldorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.3%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
62%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hollenbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
NOT
5 - 0
HOL
79%
14%
7%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2013 |
HOL
0 - 1
KSC
38%
24%
37%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
HEI
6 - 1
HOL
33%
24%
43%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | -3 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
BAH
3 - 1
HOL
32%
25%
43%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
HOL
2 - 2
OBE
80%
13%
7%
|
33 | 13 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Astoria Walldorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
AST
3 - 0
BAH
76%
16%
9%
|
41 | 23 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2013 |
OBE
1 - 2
AST
9%
17%
74%
|
41 | 13 | 28 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
AST
1 - 0
VIL
76%
16%
8%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
GRU
2 - 0
AST
28%
24%
49%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | -2 |
| 13 Sep. 2013 |
AST
4 - 1
VFR
49%
24%
26%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | +1 |