Hollandia vs UDI '19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
33.3%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hollandia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
KAT
3 - 0
HOL
74%
16%
10%
|
43 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
ARC
1 - 1
HOL
27%
24%
50%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
HOL
0 - 1
PUR
38%
26%
36%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
SVH
4 - 0
HOL
35%
24%
41%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | -2 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
HOL
3 - 3
BOL
64%
21%
15%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
UDI '19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2024 |
UDI
2 - 0
EVV
43%
26%
31%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
WIT
4 - 3
UDI
32%
26%
42%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
UDI
2 - 0
HAL
37%
25%
38%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
JUL
1 - 2
UDI
56%
22%
22%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +2 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
UDI
3 - 2
GOE
9%
15%
76%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | +1 |