Holguín vs Santiago de Cuba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
40.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+65%
+23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
1º
5º
1º
10
4º
5º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
19 | 19 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
18 | 18 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
17 | 17 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
14 | 14 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
10 | 10 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 6 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Holguín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2023 |
FCL
0 - 2
HOL
66%
20%
14%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
HOL
3 - 1
CIE
29%
26%
45%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | +2 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
HOL
4 - 1
MAT
27%
25%
48%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | +2 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
GUA
3 - 0
HOL
60%
25%
15%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
SAN
1 - 1
HOL
66%
22%
12%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Santiago de Cuba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2023 |
SAN
2 - 1
GUA
38%
27%
35%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
MAT
1 - 1
SAN
42%
28%
31%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
FCL
1 - 0
SAN
51%
25%
24%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
CIE
2 - 1
SAN
34%
28%
38%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
SAN
1 - 1
HOL
66%
22%
12%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |