Holguín vs Guantánamo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
40.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+65%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
1º
5º
1º
14
1º
4º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
19 | 19 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
18 | 18 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
17 | 17 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
14 | 14 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
10 | 10 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 6 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Holguín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2023 |
HOL
5 - 2
SAN
31%
28%
41%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2023 |
FCL
0 - 2
HOL
66%
20%
14%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
HOL
3 - 1
CIE
29%
26%
45%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | +2 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
HOL
4 - 1
MAT
27%
25%
48%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | +2 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
GUA
3 - 0
HOL
60%
25%
15%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Guantánamo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 1
MAT
38%
28%
34%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2023 |
SAN
2 - 1
GUA
38%
27%
35%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
GUA
2 - 0
FCL
35%
28%
36%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
CIE
1 - 0
GUA
31%
27%
42%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
GUA
3 - 0
HOL
60%
25%
15%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |