Holguín vs Cienfuegos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
44.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+65%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
1º
5º
1º
18
1º
4º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
19 | 19 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
18 | 18 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
17 | 17 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
14 | 14 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
10 | 10 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 6 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Holguín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2023 |
HOL
4 - 1
MAT
27%
25%
48%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
GUA
3 - 0
HOL
60%
25%
15%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
SAN
1 - 1
HOL
66%
22%
12%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2023 |
GRA
0 - 1
HOL
60%
22%
18%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
HOL
2 - 2
CIE
31%
26%
43%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Cienfuegos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2023 |
CIE
1 - 0
GUA
31%
27%
42%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
CIE
2 - 1
SAN
34%
28%
38%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
FCL
3 - 0
CIE
56%
23%
21%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
CIE
1 - 2
SAN
39%
28%
33%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2023 |
CIE
2 - 0
MAT
37%
27%
36%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |