Europa League 1/32
Global 1-3
Holbæk vs Stal Mielec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.8%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
60.6%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stal Mielec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1975 |
GÓR
1 - 1
STA
51%
25%
24%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1975 |
STA
2 - 2
LKS
57%
25%
19%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1975 |
POG
1 - 3
STA
50%
26%
24%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 1975 |
STA
6 - 0
WAR
47%
27%
27%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 1975 |
ZAG
1 - 1
STA
48%
27%
26%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |