Holbæk vs Randers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.5%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.2%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
70.7%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.3%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Holbæk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
STE
1 - 5
HOL
21%
23%
56%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
HOL
2 - 3
FRE
78%
14%
8%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
TAA
1 - 1
HOL
16%
21%
63%
|
48 | 30 | 18 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
KAS
1 - 4
HOL
19%
22%
59%
|
47 | 32 | 15 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
HOL
2 - 1
KAR
78%
14%
8%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Randers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2017 |
RAN
1 - 1
AAB
29%
27%
43%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
FCN
3 - 2
RAN
61%
22%
17%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2017 |
RAN
0 - 1
ACH
41%
28%
32%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | -2 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
OBK
3 - 1
RAN
44%
27%
29%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2017 |
OTB
0 - 2
RAN
6%
14%
80%
|
73 | 22 | 51 | 0 |