Holbæk vs Fredensborg BI analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.2%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
15.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Holbæk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2016 |
DAL
0 - 1
HOL
55%
22%
24%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
B93
1 - 2
HOL
67%
19%
14%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +2 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
HOL
1 - 2
HEL
49%
24%
28%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
BRØ
1 - 1
HOL
61%
23%
17%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2016 |
NAK
0 - 5
HOL
14%
18%
68%
|
42 | 9 | 33 | +1 |
Matches
Fredensborg BI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2016 |
FRE
0 - 4
FCH
11%
19%
71%
|
41 | 63 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
FRE
1 - 2
AVA
19%
24%
56%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
HVI
3 - 1
FRE
74%
16%
10%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
FRE
0 - 0
FRE
12%
20%
67%
|
38 | 54 | 16 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2016 |
MAL
0 - 6
FRE
9%
16%
75%
|
37 | 7 | 30 | +1 |