Netherlands U20 vs Italy U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
5%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.7%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
46.5%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
14%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Netherlands U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2018 |
SUI
1 - 3
NED
24%
22%
54%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2018 |
NED
4 - 1
POL
42%
23%
36%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2018 |
GER
1 - 1
NED
58%
22%
21%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2018 |
NED
3 - 1
ENG
14%
17%
69%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2018 |
POR
0 - 0
NED
49%
24%
28%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Italy U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2018 |
ITA
3 - 3
GER
33%
25%
42%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2018 |
ITA
1 - 2
POR
37%
25%
38%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2018 |
ENG
2 - 1
ITA
42%
23%
36%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2018 |
POL
0 - 3
ITA
21%
20%
59%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2018 |
ITA
3 - 0
CRO
58%
21%
21%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | +1 |