Netherlands U17 vs Wales U17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.5%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.8%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
+4
11.5%
3-0
14.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.8%
2-0
17.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.6%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.1%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.1%
0
11.7%
3.8%
Win probability
0.39
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Netherlands U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2019 |
NED
1 - 1
KOS
86%
11%
3%
|
68 | 37 | 31 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
NED
4 - 2
ITA
51%
24%
25%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2019 |
NED
1 - 0
ESP
44%
25%
31%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
BEL
0 - 3
NED
22%
23%
55%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2019 |
FRA
2 - 0
NED
30%
24%
45%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Wales U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2019 |
WAL
1 - 0
SVN
34%
24%
42%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2018 |
WAL
1 - 5
POR
9%
15%
76%
|
39 | 60 | 21 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
WAL
0 - 1
KAZ
65%
18%
17%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2018 |
BLR
2 - 2
WAL
37%
24%
39%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2017 |
WAL
0 - 4
NED
9%
15%
77%
|
40 | 60 | 20 | -1 |