Netherlands U17 vs Finland U17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.5%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.4%
7.1%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Netherlands U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2024 |
NED
0 - 2
ITA
52%
24%
24%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2023 |
NED
1 - 1
CRO
75%
17%
9%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
NED
1 - 4
ENG
48%
24%
28%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2023 |
SUI
2 - 0
NED
9%
18%
73%
|
67 | 48 | 19 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2023 |
ENG
0 - 1
NED
40%
24%
36%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Finland U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2024 |
FIN
0 - 1
BEL
18%
21%
62%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
LIE
0 - 3
FIN
13%
16%
72%
|
39 | 6 | 33 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2023 |
GER
1 - 1
FIN
86%
10%
4%
|
38 | 64 | 26 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
FIN
2 - 2
UKR
32%
23%
44%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2023 |
FIN
1 - 5
TUR
32%
23%
45%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | -2 |