Netherlands U17 vs Bulgaria U17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.4%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.4%
8.2%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Netherlands U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2015 |
NED
4 - 1
SUI
65%
20%
15%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
ALB
0 - 5
NED
7%
14%
79%
|
61 | 25 | 36 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2015 |
NED
1 - 2
WAL
75%
17%
8%
|
62 | 36 | 26 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2015 |
NED
1 - 1
ITA
55%
24%
21%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
NED
1 - 1
ENG
38%
26%
36%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Bulgaria U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2015 |
MKD
0 - 0
BGR
28%
23%
50%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2015 |
BGR
2 - 0
SCO
33%
25%
42%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | +2 |
| 21 Oct. 2015 |
ITA
3 - 0
BGR
72%
18%
10%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2015 |
AUT
1 - 1
BGR
75%
16%
9%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
BGR
1 - 2
ESP
8%
17%
76%
|
37 | 65 | 28 | 0 |