UEFA EC U21 Quarter-finals
Global 2-2
Netherlands U21 vs Sweden U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
18.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Netherlands U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1991 |
NED
1 - 1
POR
68%
19%
13%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1991 |
FIN
1 - 7
NED
26%
26%
48%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1991 |
NED
1 - 0
FIN
76%
16%
8%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1991 |
NED
7 - 1
MLT
80%
14%
6%
|
65 | 47 | 18 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 1990 |
MLT
1 - 4
NED
27%
26%
47%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Sweden U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1991 |
GRC
1 - 3
SWE
39%
27%
35%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1991 |
ISR
0 - 0
SWE
42%
26%
32%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1991 |
SWE
2 - 1
ISR
63%
21%
16%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 May. 1991 |
SWE
6 - 0
CYP
76%
16%
8%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1990 |
CYP
1 - 1
SWE
25%
26%
50%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | +1 |