Netherlands U21 vs Norway U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.1%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
14.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Netherlands U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2023 |
SWE
2 - 4
NLD
32%
23%
44%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2023 |
NLD
1 - 0
GIB
83%
12%
6%
|
75 | 31 | 44 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
GIB
0 - 5
NLD
4%
10%
86%
|
75 | 31 | 44 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2023 |
GEO
0 - 3
NLD
18%
21%
61%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2023 |
MKD
0 - 2
NLD
12%
19%
68%
|
75 | 55 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Norway U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2023 |
TUR
2 - 0
NOR
30%
24%
46%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2023 |
NOR
3 - 2
IRL
54%
22%
24%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
ITA
2 - 0
NOR
66%
20%
14%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2023 |
AUT
1 - 2
NOR
62%
20%
19%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2023 |
NOR
7 - 0
LVA
82%
13%
6%
|
62 | 43 | 19 | 0 |