Netherlands U21 vs Italy U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
36.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Netherlands U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2007 |
NED
1 - 0
MKD
78%
15%
8%
|
74 | 43 | 31 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2007 |
EST
0 - 3
NED
11%
19%
70%
|
74 | 28 | 46 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2007 |
NOR
0 - 1
NED
40%
25%
34%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2007 |
MKD
0 - 1
NED
14%
20%
67%
|
73 | 41 | 32 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2007 |
NED
4 - 1
SRB
59%
22%
20%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Italy U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2007 |
FRO
0 - 1
ITA
12%
21%
67%
|
82 | 42 | 40 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2007 |
ITA
5 - 0
AZE
82%
14%
4%
|
82 | 37 | 45 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2007 |
GRC
2 - 2
ITA
31%
27%
42%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2007 |
ITA
2 - 0
CRO
77%
15%
8%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2007 |
ALB
0 - 1
ITA
14%
23%
63%
|
81 | 51 | 30 | +1 |