Netherlands U21 vs Italy U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
55.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Netherlands U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2006 |
DEN
1 - 1
NED
63%
19%
18%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2006 |
UKR
2 - 1
NED
43%
24%
33%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2006 |
NED
2 - 2
GER
34%
25%
40%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2005 |
NED
2 - 0
SVN
69%
19%
13%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2005 |
SVN
0 - 0
NED
26%
23%
52%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Italy U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2006 |
ITA
1 - 0
UKR
69%
19%
12%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2006 |
ITA
3 - 3
DEN
63%
21%
16%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2006 |
POR
0 - 1
ITA
40%
26%
33%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2005 |
ITA
1 - 0
HUN
73%
18%
9%
|
81 | 61 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2005 |
HUN
1 - 1
ITA
25%
26%
49%
|
81 | 60 | 21 | 0 |