Netherlands U21 vs Spain U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
37%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Netherlands U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2009 |
NED
3 - 0
LIE
83%
13%
5%
|
75 | 6 | 69 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2009 |
POL
0 - 4
NED
31%
26%
44%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2009 |
FIN
0 - 1
NED
20%
25%
55%
|
75 | 56 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2009 |
NED
2 - 0
FIN
70%
20%
10%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2009 |
NED
0 - 0
ENG
38%
27%
36%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Spain U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2009 |
ESP
1 - 0
FIN
76%
17%
7%
|
82 | 55 | 27 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2009 |
LIE
0 - 4
ESP
8%
17%
75%
|
82 | 6 | 76 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2009 |
ESP
2 - 0
POL
72%
18%
10%
|
82 | 61 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2009 |
FIN
0 - 2
ESP
9%
18%
73%
|
82 | 57 | 25 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2009 |
ESP
0 - 2
ENG
52%
24%
25%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |