Netherlands U19 vs Poland U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.7%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
15.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Netherlands U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2012 |
SMR
0 - 4
NED
13%
19%
69%
|
63 | 23 | 40 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2012 |
NED
5 - 0
MLT
79%
15%
7%
|
62 | 32 | 30 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2012 |
NED
0 - 6
FRA
31%
25%
44%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | -2 |
| 27 May. 2012 |
CZE
0 - 3
NED
42%
24%
35%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2012 |
NED
2 - 1
NOR
54%
22%
23%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Poland U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2012 |
POL
5 - 0
MLT
75%
16%
9%
|
53 | 31 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2012 |
POL
2 - 0
SMR
79%
14%
7%
|
53 | 23 | 30 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2011 |
TUR
2 - 2
POL
70%
18%
12%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
POL
2 - 1
LUX
72%
17%
11%
|
52 | 36 | 16 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
POL
1 - 3
GEO
61%
21%
18%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | -2 |