Netherlands U19 vs Moldova U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.8%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.6%
7.7%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Netherlands U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2013 |
NED
2 - 3
ESP
19%
23%
58%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2013 |
NED
1 - 4
POR
38%
25%
37%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
LTU
2 - 3
NED
7%
17%
76%
|
64 | 35 | 29 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2013 |
GER
0 - 1
NED
60%
21%
19%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 2013 |
NED
0 - 1
CYP
80%
14%
7%
|
64 | 42 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
Moldova U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2012 |
MDA
1 - 8
NIR
39%
25%
36%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2012 |
CZE
2 - 0
MDA
74%
17%
10%
|
40 | 58 | 18 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2012 |
GRC
0 - 0
MDA
75%
16%
9%
|
39 | 61 | 22 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2011 |
FIN
4 - 2
MDA
61%
21%
18%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | -2 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
MDA
0 - 4
CRO
20%
22%
58%
|
41 | 61 | 20 | 0 |