Hohenems vs Kitzbühel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.5%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.2%
10.2%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
4º
6º
5º
9
7º
15º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 70 |
1º
|
39% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 70 |
2º
|
30% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 61 |
3º
|
58.5% | |
|
4º
|
28 | 55 |
4º
|
45% | |
|
|
5º
|
27 | 51 |
5º
|
43% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 45 |
6º
|
34.5% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 43 |
7º
|
23.5% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 41 |
8º
|
21.5% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 39 |
9º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 36 |
10º
|
18.5% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 36 |
11º
|
16.5% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 33 |
12º
|
25.5% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 32 |
13º
|
25.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
9 | 21 |
14º
|
38.5% | |
|
15º
|
9 | 21 |
15º
|
41.5% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 16 |
16º
|
71% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 53% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 47% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hohenems
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
HOH
4 - 4
OED
78%
14%
9%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
HOH
2 - 2
SCA
17%
20%
63%
|
56 | 75 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
PIN
1 - 2
HOH
29%
24%
46%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
HOH
6 - 1
DOR
87%
9%
4%
|
56 | 27 | 29 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2024 |
REI
0 - 0
HOH
31%
24%
46%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Kitzbühel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
SVW
4 - 0
KIT
38%
23%
39%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
WOR
2 - 5
KIT
12%
18%
70%
|
48 | 24 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2024 |
KIT
0 - 7
BOR
10%
16%
74%
|
48 | 69 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
KIT
2 - 1
WAT
26%
22%
52%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +2 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
EBB
1 - 2
KIT
23%
24%
53%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |