AD Hogar Alcarreño vs CP Villarrobledo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.5%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.8%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.2%
65.3%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
13%
1-3
6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.6%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Hogar Alcarreño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
TAR
4 - 0
HAL
69%
18%
13%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
HAL
1 - 3
HBA
39%
25%
37%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
CLE
3 - 2
HAL
60%
22%
19%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
HAL
1 - 3
AZU
27%
26%
48%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
MIG
4 - 0
HAL
36%
26%
38%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
CP Villarrobledo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
VIL
1 - 1
CIU
53%
22%
25%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
VIL
2 - 0
QRE
47%
23%
30%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | +2 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
TAR
1 - 3
VIL
34%
25%
41%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
VIL
3 - 0
HBA
77%
14%
9%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
CLE
0 - 1
VIL
27%
25%
48%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | +1 |