AD Hogar Alcarreño vs Villa CD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.4%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
45.1%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Hogar Alcarreño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
CAB
1 - 0
HAL
53%
22%
25%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
HAL
1 - 1
AAL
33%
25%
42%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
MAD
2 - 1
HAL
67%
19%
14%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
TOL
4 - 0
HAL
39%
24%
37%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
HAL
2 - 1
TDR
35%
24%
42%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Villa CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
VIL
2 - 1
YUN
48%
23%
30%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
VIL
5 - 1
CAB
47%
23%
31%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
AAL
1 - 0
VIL
49%
24%
27%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
MAD
0 - 0
VIL
62%
21%
17%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
VIL
5 - 2
TOL
46%
23%
31%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | +1 |