AD Hogar Alcarreño vs CD Toledo B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.4%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.5%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
50.7%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Hogar Alcarreño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
TDR
3 - 2
HAL
80%
13%
7%
|
11 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
HAL
3 - 1
MOR
34%
23%
43%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
CFA
1 - 1
HAL
70%
18%
12%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
HAL
0 - 1
FUE
24%
23%
53%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
CDP
2 - 0
HAL
68%
19%
13%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
CD Toledo B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2024 |
TOL
3 - 1
VIL
27%
24%
49%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
CAB
1 - 2
TOL
58%
22%
20%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
TOL
1 - 1
AAL
32%
27%
41%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
MAD
1 - 0
TOL
72%
18%
11%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
YUN
1 - 0
TOL
51%
23%
25%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | -1 |