AD Hogar Alcarreño vs CD Toledo B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.8%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
32.8%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Hogar Alcarreño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
QUI
2 - 0
HAL
39%
25%
36%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
HAL
2 - 1
VIL
37%
24%
39%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
ADS
2 - 0
HAL
28%
22%
50%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | -2 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
HAL
1 - 1
ADS
37%
24%
39%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
BCO
0 - 2
HAL
29%
24%
47%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
CD Toledo B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
TOL
1 - 1
VIL
40%
24%
36%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
ADS
0 - 3
TOL
69%
18%
13%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | +2 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
TOL
0 - 1
AZU
53%
24%
23%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
CFA
0 - 0
TOL
59%
21%
20%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
TOL
2 - 1
ALC
22%
22%
56%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | +1 |