AD Hogar Alcarreño vs CF Talavera B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
41.8%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Hogar Alcarreño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
MOR
2 - 1
HAL
26%
23%
51%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2023 |
HAL
2 - 0
CFA
31%
22%
47%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
FUE
4 - 3
HAL
50%
23%
27%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
HAL
2 - 1
CDP
30%
25%
46%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
NOB
3 - 1
HAL
77%
15%
9%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
CF Talavera B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
TDR
2 - 1
VIL
56%
22%
23%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2023 |
CAB
3 - 1
TDR
31%
24%
45%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
TDR
1 - 1
AAL
47%
24%
29%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
MAD
0 - 2
TDR
57%
22%
21%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
TDR
1 - 1
TOL
53%
22%
26%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |