AD Hogar Alcarreño vs CD Puebla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.1%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.3%
8.7%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+146%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Hogar Alcarreño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
FDE
1 - 2
HAL
14%
19%
67%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
HAL
0 - 0
CAB
57%
21%
22%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
ORG
1 - 1
HAL
24%
22%
54%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
HAL
4 - 1
CDE
86%
10%
4%
|
19 | 9 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
HAL
2 - 0
MOC
69%
17%
14%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
CD Puebla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
PUE
1 - 0
MOC
32%
24%
44%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
MOR
2 - 0
PUE
75%
16%
9%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
PUE
1 - 0
MAR
11%
19%
70%
|
10 | 23 | 13 | +2 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
NOB
0 - 1
PUE
87%
9%
4%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
PUE
1 - 3
TOL
13%
19%
68%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | 0 |