AD Hogar Alcarreño vs CF Orgaceño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.8%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.7%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.7%
9.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+151%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Hogar Alcarreño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
CDE
1 - 4
HAL
28%
24%
48%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
MOC
1 - 0
HAL
25%
23%
52%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
HAL
2 - 1
MOR
58%
21%
21%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
HAL
3 - 0
CDP
77%
15%
9%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
FDE
2 - 3
HAL
22%
23%
55%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
CF Orgaceño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
ORG
0 - 0
MOC
39%
23%
38%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
MOR
1 - 1
ORG
62%
21%
17%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
ORG
0 - 2
MAR
34%
24%
42%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | -2 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
SCR
2 - 3
ORG
9%
16%
75%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
ORG
5 - 2
ARG
80%
13%
7%
|
14 | 8 | 6 | +1 |