AD Hogar Alcarreño vs CD Mocejon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.1%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.4%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.1%
6.8%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Hogar Alcarreño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
T66
1 - 1
HAL
27%
24%
49%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
HAL
3 - 0
TDR
78%
14%
9%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
CBA
1 - 4
HAL
22%
23%
56%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
CAB
1 - 1
HAL
29%
25%
47%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
HAL
2 - 0
YUN
73%
16%
11%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
CD Mocejon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
MOC
1 - 2
CAB
26%
24%
51%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
YUN
1 - 1
MOC
62%
20%
17%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
HOR
0 - 0
MOC
55%
23%
22%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
CDQ
2 - 2
MOC
14%
19%
67%
|
12 | 6 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
MOC
1 - 1
ADS
34%
24%
42%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |