AD Hogar Alcarreño vs CF Alovera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
37.3%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Hogar Alcarreño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
CAZ
4 - 0
HAL
80%
13%
8%
|
15 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
ALC
3 - 1
HAL
24%
23%
53%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
HAL
2 - 0
ORG
62%
20%
18%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
HAL
1 - 1
BAR
72%
16%
12%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
CAB
0 - 1
HAL
44%
24%
33%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
CF Alovera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
CFA
0 - 0
ALC
56%
22%
22%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
CFA
1 - 0
BAR
62%
20%
18%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
YUN
0 - 1
CFA
33%
24%
44%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
CFA
0 - 3
MAD
54%
23%
23%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
QUI
2 - 1
CFA
30%
24%
45%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | -1 |