AD Hogar Alcarreño vs Academia Albiceleste analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
42.4%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-67%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Hogar Alcarreño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
MAD
2 - 1
HAL
67%
19%
14%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
TOL
4 - 0
HAL
39%
24%
37%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
HAL
2 - 1
TDR
35%
24%
42%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
MOR
2 - 1
HAL
26%
23%
51%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2023 |
HAL
2 - 0
CFA
31%
22%
47%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Academia Albiceleste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
AAL
1 - 0
VIL
49%
24%
27%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
AAL
1 - 2
CAB
53%
24%
24%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
YUN
0 - 0
AAL
45%
25%
30%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
MAD
4 - 0
AAL
45%
25%
30%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2023 |
AAL
1 - 0
TOL
50%
24%
26%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |