Hoffenheim II vs Ulm analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
54.8%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hoffenheim II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
HOF
1 - 3
LUD
44%
24%
32%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
WEI
1 - 2
HOF
34%
25%
41%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2003 |
HOF
0 - 2
KSC
53%
22%
24%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2003 |
LIN
2 - 1
HOF
32%
25%
43%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2003 |
HOF
2 - 2
BAH
64%
20%
16%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Ulm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2003 |
AJL
1 - 3
ULM
22%
26%
53%
|
60 | 32 | 28 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
ULM
0 - 2
SVS
76%
15%
9%
|
61 | 32 | 29 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
FRE
0 - 1
ULM
19%
23%
58%
|
61 | 28 | 33 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
ULM
0 - 4
CRA
81%
13%
7%
|
62 | 33 | 29 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2003 |
WAL
3 - 0
ULM
39%
25%
36%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | -1 |