Hoffenheim II vs Freiberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.3%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.9%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.5%
8.2%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hoffenheim II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2009 |
NOT
0 - 2
HOF
25%
24%
51%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
HOF
1 - 0
ILL
75%
15%
9%
|
42 | 25 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
HOF
5 - 0
WEI
74%
16%
10%
|
42 | 25 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
BAH
0 - 4
HOF
32%
25%
43%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2009 |
HOF
3 - 0
AST
61%
21%
18%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Freiberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
FRE
2 - 1
ASV
65%
20%
16%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
STU
2 - 2
FRE
31%
25%
44%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
DEN
0 - 0
FRE
27%
24%
50%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
FRE
1 - 2
WEI
58%
21%
21%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
BON
0 - 1
FRE
35%
25%
40%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | +1 |