Hoek vs Sparta Nijkerk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
44.6%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hoek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
BAR
0 - 0
HOE
59%
23%
18%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
HOE
1 - 0
ARC
53%
24%
23%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
APE
2 - 1
HOE
46%
24%
29%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
LIS
2 - 1
HOE
47%
24%
29%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
HOE
1 - 0
HAR
32%
25%
43%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Sparta Nijkerk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
SPA
0 - 1
CAP
42%
26%
32%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
SPA
1 - 1
APE
56%
22%
22%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
HAR
3 - 0
SPA
36%
24%
40%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -2 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
SPA
1 - 1
EXC
55%
23%
22%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2010 |
SPA
2 - 1
EXC
20%
23%
57%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | +1 |