Hoek vs Spakenburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.7%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
51%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.6%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hoek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2010 |
CAP
1 - 2
HOE
60%
22%
18%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
HOE
1 - 2
BAR
28%
26%
46%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2010 |
DET
3 - 1
HOE
66%
19%
15%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
SPA
0 - 0
HOE
59%
22%
20%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
SPA
4 - 1
HOE
54%
23%
24%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Spakenburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2010 |
SPA
4 - 1
BAR
51%
23%
26%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
ARC
0 - 5
SPA
22%
22%
56%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2010 |
VLI
1 - 3
SPA
20%
20%
60%
|
52 | 35 | 17 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
SPA
4 - 2
LIS
63%
19%
18%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
SPA
3 - 1
ZWA
76%
15%
10%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | +1 |