Hoek vs Katwijk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.9%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
38%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hoek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
IJS
2 - 0
HOE
63%
21%
16%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
HOE
0 - 0
SPA
25%
24%
51%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2010 |
CAP
1 - 2
HOE
60%
22%
18%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | +2 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
HOE
1 - 2
BAR
28%
26%
46%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2010 |
DET
3 - 1
HOE
66%
19%
15%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Katwijk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
KAT
1 - 1
SPA
29%
25%
47%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
BAR
1 - 2
KAT
57%
23%
20%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | +2 |
| 31 Aug. 2010 |
KAT
2 - 0
ARC
61%
22%
18%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
LIS
0 - 2
KAT
51%
22%
26%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +3 |
| 25 Aug. 2010 |
WIL
1 - 11
KAT
15%
19%
65%
|
43 | 13 | 30 | +1 |