Hoek vs IJsselmeervogels analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
51.5%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hoek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
SPA
1 - 0
HOE
76%
15%
9%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
HOE
1 - 1
CAP
29%
27%
45%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
HOE
0 - 0
SPA
31%
25%
45%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
BAR
0 - 0
HOE
59%
23%
18%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
HOE
1 - 0
ARC
53%
24%
23%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
IJsselmeervogels
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
APE
1 - 1
IJS
25%
25%
50%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
IJS
0 - 1
SPA
64%
20%
16%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
IJS
2 - 4
HAR
63%
21%
16%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
IJS
3 - 0
EXC
66%
20%
14%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
GEN
0 - 2
IJS
31%
26%
44%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | +1 |