Hoek vs Capelle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
31.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hoek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2014 |
ZWA
1 - 3
HOE
29%
24%
48%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
HOE
0 - 1
RVV
62%
23%
15%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
JOD
2 - 4
HOE
22%
24%
54%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
ACH
1 - 3
HOE
23%
24%
53%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
HOE
0 - 0
FCS
69%
19%
12%
|
48 | 30 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Capelle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2014 |
NOO
1 - 0
CAP
43%
24%
33%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
CAP
2 - 2
BAR
45%
26%
30%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
RIJ
3 - 0
CAP
66%
19%
15%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
CAP
1 - 0
IJS
32%
25%
43%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
LIS
4 - 1
CAP
48%
24%
28%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -2 |