Hochdorf vs Willisau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.7%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
18%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
14.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hochdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2014 |
HER
3 - 2
HOC
53%
21%
26%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
HOC
2 - 0
BUO
18%
19%
63%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | +2 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
TAV
0 - 0
HOC
66%
19%
15%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
HOC
2 - 1
RUS
47%
23%
31%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
GCB
2 - 3
HOC
22%
22%
56%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Willisau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2014 |
WIL
0 - 0
IBA
36%
23%
41%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
GOL
2 - 1
WIL
80%
12%
7%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
WIL
2 - 1
ESC
38%
22%
39%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
SAR
2 - 1
WIL
78%
13%
9%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
WIL
5 - 2
GUN
25%
22%
53%
|
14 | 23 | 9 | +2 |