Hochdorf vs Ibach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.8%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
33.1%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hochdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
HOC
3 - 0
RUS
66%
18%
16%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
MAL
1 - 1
HOC
27%
22%
51%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2014 |
HOC
3 - 2
GUN
44%
23%
33%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
CAS
3 - 2
HOC
61%
20%
19%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
GOL
2 - 0
HOC
70%
16%
14%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Ibach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
IBA
3 - 0
MAL
67%
18%
14%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
GUN
0 - 5
IBA
47%
23%
30%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
IBA
2 - 1
CAS
29%
23%
48%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
GOL
2 - 0
IBA
74%
16%
10%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
IBA
2 - 0
ASC
29%
23%
48%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | +2 |