Hochdorf vs Biaschesi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
22.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hochdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
ASC
3 - 5
HOC
54%
22%
24%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
HOC
0 - 0
EMM
61%
20%
19%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
HOC
2 - 1
GUN
62%
20%
18%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
IBA
1 - 1
HOC
42%
24%
35%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
HOC
0 - 0
GOL
38%
24%
39%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Biaschesi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
GCB
1 - 2
IBA
44%
24%
32%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
GOL
3 - 1
GCB
67%
18%
15%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2013 |
HER
6 - 1
GCB
46%
23%
31%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
GCB
0 - 0
ESC
48%
23%
30%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
SAR
1 - 1
GCB
47%
23%
30%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |