Hochdorf vs Ascona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
39.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hochdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
HOC
0 - 2
NOV
27%
21%
52%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
IBA
2 - 1
HOC
71%
18%
12%
|
15 | 23 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
HOC
1 - 2
HER
17%
20%
63%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
TAV
2 - 0
HOC
64%
20%
16%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
HOC
1 - 2
SAR
50%
24%
27%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Ascona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
FCA
1 - 2
ASC
61%
19%
20%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
ASC
1 - 4
GOL
20%
20%
60%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
PER
2 - 2
ASC
54%
21%
25%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
ASC
7 - 2
BRU
22%
21%
57%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | +3 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
LUG
3 - 0
ASC
69%
18%
13%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | -1 |