Hochdorf vs Ascona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.6%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
40.7%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hochdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
HOC
1 - 1
TAV
33%
23%
44%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
SAR
1 - 2
HOC
31%
21%
48%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2016 |
HER
6 - 3
HOC
58%
20%
22%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2016 |
HOC
5 - 2
IBA
26%
22%
52%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | +2 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
LUZ
5 - 2
HOC
51%
21%
28%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Ascona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 1
ASC
42%
24%
34%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
ASC
2 - 1
KUS
78%
14%
8%
|
25 | 15 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
GOL
4 - 1
ASC
65%
19%
16%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
ASC
1 - 5
BEL
8%
18%
74%
|
27 | 64 | 37 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
WIL
1 - 2
ASC
22%
21%
57%
|
26 | 15 | 11 | +1 |