Hochdorf vs Novazzano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.9%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
51.9%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.6%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hochdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
IBA
2 - 1
HOC
71%
18%
12%
|
15 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
HOC
1 - 2
HER
17%
20%
63%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
TAV
2 - 0
HOC
64%
20%
16%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
HOC
1 - 2
SAR
50%
24%
27%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2017 |
HOC
1 - 0
LOC
23%
23%
55%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Novazzano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
NOV
3 - 3
FCA
51%
21%
28%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
GOL
3 - 0
NOV
81%
11%
8%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
NOV
0 - 2
PER
57%
20%
23%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
BRU
3 - 1
NOV
53%
21%
26%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
NOV
2 - 1
ASC
65%
18%
17%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |