Hobro vs Kolding IF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
44.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
4º
10º
8º
13
4º
9º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
25 | 52 |
1º
|
90.5% | |
|
2º
|
18 | 42 |
2º
|
50% | |
|
3º
|
16 | 40 |
3º
|
35% | |
|
|
5º
|
13 | 32 |
4º
|
23.5% | |
|
6º
|
13 | 31 |
5º
|
13% | |
|
4º
|
15 | 31 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
7º
|
12 | 30 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
|
8º
|
12 | 27 |
8º
|
12% | |
|
9º
|
11 | 26 |
9º
|
17.5% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 25 |
10º
|
22% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 19 |
11º
|
50.5% | |
|
12º
|
1 | 12 |
12º
|
79.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
29.5% | 73.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
70.5% | 26.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hobro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2024 |
FRE
1 - 1
HOB
59%
23%
18%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2024 |
MID
3 - 2
HOB
31%
25%
45%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2024 |
HOB
0 - 1
B93
43%
25%
32%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
HOB
0 - 3
OBK
21%
25%
54%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
VEN
0 - 3
HOB
40%
27%
33%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
Kolding IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
KOL
1 - 1
HBK
64%
22%
15%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2024 |
SGI
1 - 4
KOL
3%
7%
91%
|
70 | 8 | 62 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
HIL
0 - 3
KOL
38%
26%
36%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
KOL
0 - 0
ROS
54%
24%
22%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
KOL
1 - 2
ESB
34%
25%
41%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |