Hobro vs Hillerød analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
34.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
1º
6º
5º
30
7º
12º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 49 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 36 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 18 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 14 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hobro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
SON
1 - 0
HOB
69%
20%
11%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
HOB
2 - 1
HBK
46%
26%
28%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
HOB
1 - 0
FCH
40%
26%
35%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
NAE
1 - 0
HOB
34%
27%
39%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
HOB
2 - 3
KOL
30%
26%
44%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Hillerød
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2023 |
HIL
1 - 0
NAE
44%
26%
30%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
ACH
1 - 3
HIL
57%
23%
21%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
HIL
1 - 1
FRE
15%
21%
64%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
B93
0 - 3
HIL
51%
23%
26%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
HIL
0 - 0
ACH
21%
26%
53%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | +1 |