Hobro vs Hillerød analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
21.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
4º
11º
9º
31
7º
12º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 50 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 37 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 32 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 25 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 21 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hobro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2022 |
VEN
1 - 0
HOB
38%
28%
35%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
HOB
0 - 3
SON
24%
26%
51%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
NAE
2 - 0
HOB
47%
26%
27%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2022 |
VEJ
0 - 2
HOB
8%
13%
78%
|
58 | 35 | 23 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2022 |
HOB
1 - 0
FCH
26%
24%
50%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Hillerød
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2022 |
HIL
2 - 1
FRE
22%
23%
55%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2022 |
HIL
0 - 2
HBK
33%
26%
40%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
HVI
3 - 1
HIL
68%
20%
12%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2022 |
BFR
1 - 0
HIL
45%
24%
32%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
HIL
1 - 5
SON
18%
24%
58%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | 0 |