Hobro vs Fredericia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.1%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
57%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
3º
6º
4º
47
1º
5º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 19 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 16 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 14 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
47 | 14 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
47 | 12 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 7 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hobro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
HOB
2 - 1
AAB
11%
20%
69%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
SON
2 - 0
HOB
67%
20%
12%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
HOB
1 - 1
KOL
29%
26%
45%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
VEN
1 - 1
HOB
46%
27%
27%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
HOB
1 - 1
B93
34%
26%
40%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Fredericia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
FRE
0 - 2
SON
31%
25%
45%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2024 |
FRE
2 - 0
SIF
28%
24%
49%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
KOL
4 - 0
FRE
28%
25%
47%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2024 |
FRE
3 - 1
VEN
52%
24%
24%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
SIF
6 - 1
FRE
53%
22%
26%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | -1 |