Hobro vs Fredericia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.1%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
57%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
3º
6º
4º
47
1º
5º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 19 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 16 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 14 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
47 | 14 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
47 | 12 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 7 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hobro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
HOB
2 - 1
AAB
11%
20%
69%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
SON
2 - 0
HOB
67%
20%
12%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
HOB
1 - 1
KOL
29%
26%
45%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
VEN
1 - 1
HOB
46%
27%
27%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
HOB
1 - 1
B93
34%
26%
40%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Fredericia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
FRE
0 - 2
SON
31%
25%
45%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2024 |
FRE
2 - 0
SIF
28%
24%
49%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
KOL
4 - 0
FRE
28%
25%
47%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2024 |
FRE
3 - 1
VEN
52%
24%
24%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
SIF
6 - 1
FRE
53%
22%
26%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | -1 |