Hobro vs Fredericia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
56.8%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
1º
6º
5º
35
3º
10º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 49 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 36 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 18 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 14 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hobro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
HOB
1 - 0
AAF
36%
24%
40%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2024 |
HOB
2 - 2
SKI
70%
19%
11%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
HOB
2 - 0
THI
64%
21%
16%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2024 |
RAN
3 - 0
HOB
60%
22%
18%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2023 |
ACH
0 - 1
HOB
51%
25%
24%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Fredericia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2024 |
FRE
0 - 1
SON
29%
22%
49%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2024 |
HAM
0 - 1
FRE
32%
22%
46%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2024 |
MID
7 - 0
FRE
73%
16%
11%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2024 |
BIF
9 - 0
FRE
59%
21%
21%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
MID
1 - 2
FRE
16%
18%
66%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |